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2025-01-09   

phlove 333 login How Trump's bet on voters electing him managed to silence some of his legal woes

Jonah Goldberg Among elites across the ideological spectrum, there's one point of unifying agreement: Americans are bitterly divided. What if that's wrong? What if elites are the ones who are bitterly divided while most Americans are fairly unified? History rarely lines up perfectly with the calendar (the "sixties" didn't really start until the decade was almost over). But politically, the 21st century neatly began in 2000, when the election ended in a tie and the color coding of electoral maps became enshrined as a kind of permanent tribal color war of "red vs. blue." Elite understanding of politics has been stuck in this framework ever since. Politicians and voters have leaned into this alleged political reality, making it seem all the more real in the process. I loathe the phrase "perception is reality," but in politics it has the reifying power of self-fulfilling prophecy. Like rival noble families in medieval Europe, elites have been vying for power and dominance on the arrogant assumption that their subjects share their concern for who rules rather than what the rulers can deliver. Political cartoonists from across country draw up something special for the holiday In 2018, the group More in Common published a massive report on the "hidden tribes" of American politics. The wealthiest and whitest groups were "devoted conservatives" (6%) and "progressive activists" (8%). These tribes dominate the media, the parties and higher education, and they dictate the competing narratives of red vs. blue, particularly on cable news and social media. Meanwhile, the overwhelming majority of Americans resided in, or were adjacent to, the "exhausted majority." These people, however, "have no narrative," as David Brooks wrote at the time. "They have no coherent philosophic worldview to organize their thinking and compel action." Lacking a narrative might seem like a very postmodern problem, but in a postmodern elite culture, postmodern problems are real problems. It's worth noting that red vs. blue America didn't emerge ex nihilo. The 1990s were a time when the economy and government seemed to be working, at home and abroad. As a result, elites leaned into the narcissism of small differences to gain political and cultural advantage. They remain obsessed with competing, often apocalyptic, narratives. That leaves out most Americans. The gladiatorial combatants of cable news, editorial pages and academia, and their superfan spectators, can afford these fights. Members of the exhausted majority are more interested in mere competence. I think that's the hidden unity elites are missing. This is why we keep throwing incumbent parties out of power: They get elected promising competence but get derailed -- or seduced -- by fan service to, or trolling of, the elites who dominate the national conversation. There's a difference between competence and expertise. One of the most profound political changes in recent years has been the separation of notions of credentialed expertise from real-world competence. This isn't a new theme in American life, but the pandemic and the lurch toward identity politics amplified distrust of experts in unprecedented ways. This is a particular problem for the left because it is far more invested in credentialism than the right. Indeed, some progressives are suddenly realizing they invested too much in the authority of experts and too little in the ability of experts to provide what people want from government, such as affordable housing, decent education and low crime. The New York Times' Ezra Klein says he's tired of defending the authority of government institutions. Rather, "I want them to work." One of the reasons progressives find Trump so offensive is his absolute inability to speak the language of expertise -- which is full of coded elite shibboleths. But Trump veritably shouts the language of competence. I don't mean he is actually competent at governing. But he is effectively blunt about calling leaders, experts and elites -- of both parties -- stupid, ineffective, weak and incompetent. He lost in 2020 because voters didn't believe he was actually good at governing. He won in 2024 because the exhausted majority concluded the Biden administration was bad at it. Nostalgia for the low-inflation pre-pandemic economy was enough to convince voters that Trumpian drama is the tolerable price to pay for a good economy. About 3 out of 4 Americans who experienced "severe hardship" because of inflation voted for Trump. The genius of Trump's most effective ad -- "Kamala is for they/them, President Trump is for you" -- was that it was simultaneously culture-war red meat and an argument that Harris was more concerned about boutique elite concerns than everyday ones. If Trump can actually deliver competent government, he could make the Republican Party the majority party for a generation. For myriad reasons, that's an if so big it's visible from space. But the opportunity is there -- and has been there all along. Goldberg is editor-in-chief of The Dispatch: thedispatch.com . Get opinion pieces, letters and editorials sent directly to your inbox weekly!

The last time a Democratic president died was in 1973 when Lyndon Baines Johnson passed away at the age of 64, just a few years after leaving office. Following the death of Jimmy Carter on Sunday at the age of 100 , the nation will now see the first funeral for a Democratic president in more than 50 years. Carter is the longest-living president , who also had the longest post-presidency after leaving office at the age of 56 in 1980. There are a number of traditions and customs that govern the death of a US president, but the wishes of the family are also heavily considered, meaning the proceedings can be quite different from each other. Since the death of Johnson, there have been four state funerals for former presidents – Johnson’s in 1973, Ronald Reagan’s in 2004, Gerald Ford’s in 2007 and George HW Bush’s most recently in 2018. Richard Nixon, who died in 1994, opted for a smaller and more private ceremony at his presidential library amid concerns that reminiscing about the Watergate scandal could overshadow any larger proceeding. The US “conducts state funerals on behalf of all persons who hold, or have held, the office of president as well as a president-elect and other persons designated by the president,” according to the US Army Military District of Washington. A state funeral lasts seven to 10 days and includes three parts – ceremonies in the president’s home state, ceremonies in Washington DC, and finally ceremonies in the state where they choose to be buried. The ceremonies in the capital region may include Armed Forces honor guards, military bands, and units from the National Guard and the US Armed Forces reserves. Outside of the capitol region, services may also include local units. If a president dies in office, the first thing that must happen is that the vice president takes the oath of office to become president. One of the first things a president must do is plan their own funeral, according to the White House Historical Association. Following the passing of a president, the family coordinates the proceedings. The then-state funeral planner for public affairs for the Joint Task Force, National Capital Region in Washington, Barbara Owens, said in 2006 following the passing of Mr Ford that “Until the family has had a chance to meet with our commanding general and go over the events of the next days, we will not know what that schedule will be.” “They can choose to have a simple funeral – they can choose to have a full honor funeral. It simply is up to the family,” she added at the time. When the White House is made aware of the death of a former president, the current president announces the death by proclamation before ordering the Department of Defense to organize a state funeral. The president also orders federal agencies and departments closed to observe a national day of mourning. When a president dies, all federal buildings, grounds, and naval vessels in the US and its territories should fly the flags at half-staff for 30 days, according to the Department of Veterans Affairs. After lying in state at the presidential library of a former president, as was the case for Reagan in California, the casket is then transported to the US Capitol to lie in state there. During transportation, the casket is escorted by the military and transported using a presidential plane. In 2018, George HW Bush was transported from Houston, Texas to lie in state at the US Capitol for two days before he was buried at his presidential library in College Station, Texas. The lying in state allows current and former elected officials and the public to pay their respects. Lying in state in the White House has so far only occurred for presidents who died in office. The funerals are traditionally held at the Washington National Cathedral in the nation’s capital. Events surrounding the funeral usually last for five days and the proceedings depend on each individual president. In terms of seating arrangements, the presidential party comes first, followed by foreign chiefs of state, which are arranged alphabetically according to the English spelling of their country. After that, royalty representing chiefs of state are seated, followed by heads of government, the AP noted in time for Ford’s 2007 funeral. When a president is buried, seven honor guards fire a three-volley salute at the gravesite of the president, and military installations around the country fire a 21-gun salute for the former commander-in-chief. In the past, the caskets of several presidents traveled across the country by train to allow people all over the country to pay their respects. In 2018, George HW Bush’s family decided also to have his casket crisscross the nation. The president is finally buried, usually at a place that holds personal significance to them. Several presidents are buried at their presidential libraries while Presidents William H Taft and John F Kennedy are buried at Arlington National Cemetary. The Associated Press contributed to this report

Jonah Goldberg: What if most Americans aren't bitterly divided?Vanco Launches Giving Insights Module to Empower Churches With Actionable Donor Data

NoneJosko Gvardiol’s Man City disasterclass snatches ignominy from the jaws of victoryNEW YORK , Nov. 26, 2024 /PRNewswire/ -- Report with market evolution powered by AI - The global recreational boats market size is estimated to grow by USD 6.28 billion from 2024-2028, according to Technavio. The market is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 5.97% during the forecast period. Increasing customer engagement in recreational boating activities is driving market growth, with a trend towards growing population of high-net-worth individuals. However, high total cost of ownership for recreational boats poses a challenge.Key market players include A. H. Wadia Boat Builders, Azimut Benetti SpA, Baja Marine , Bavaria Yachtbau GmbH, Brunswick Corp., Christensen Shipyards LLC, Damen Shipyards Group, Feadship Holland BV, Grady White Boats Inc., Great American Marine, Groupe Beneteau, Halevai Power, Jettec Jet Boats Ltd., Malibu Boats Inc., Marine Products Corp., MasterCraft Boat Holdings Inc., Nobiskrug Yachts GmbH, Shandong Heavy Industry Group Co. Ltd., and Yamaha Motor Co. Ltd.. AI-Powered Market Evolution Insights. Our comprehensive market report ready with the latest trends, growth opportunities, and strategic analysis- View Free Sample Report PDF Forecast period 2024-2028 Base Year 2023 Historic Data 2018 - 2022 Segment Covered Type (Sailboats, Personal watercrafts (PWC), and Inflatables), Product Type (Outboards and Inboard), and Geography (North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East and Africa) Region Covered North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East and Africa Key companies profiled A. H. Wadia Boat Builders, Azimut Benetti SpA, Baja Marine, Bavaria Yachtbau GmbH, Brunswick Corp., Christensen Shipyards LLC, Damen Shipyards Group, Feadship Holland BV, Grady White Boats Inc., Great American Marine, Groupe Beneteau, Halevai Power, Jettec Jet Boats Ltd., Malibu Boats Inc., Marine Products Corp., MasterCraft Boat Holdings Inc., Nobiskrug Yachts GmbH, Shandong Heavy Industry Group Co. Ltd., and Yamaha Motor Co. Ltd. Key Market Trends Fueling Growth The Recreational Boats Market is experiencing in demand due to pent-up demand and increasing confidence levels among consumers. Travel restrictions are easing, leading to an uptick in boat sales. Boat options cater to various preferences and budgets, including pontoons, cruises, water sports boats, and personal watercraft. Used boat sales are also on the rise due to cost savings. Boat manufacturers and dealerships are focusing on larger cruises, local tourism, recreational fishing, and sustainable development. Emission norms are a key consideration, with boat engine manufacturers addressing Nitrogen Oxide, hydrocarbons, and particulate matter. Untapped markets and online boat sales are also driving growth. Cost savings and e-commerce giants are impacting production schedules and trade barriers, including import duties and luxury goods. The yacht segment and leisure boating continue to be popular, with luxury features, outboards, speed, and cost-effectiveness driving demand. Safety considerations and emission regulations are important, as are water bodies, tourist hotspots, and overall tourism. Sustainable development, economy, and production schedules are industry dynamics shaping the recreational industry. Leisure activities, tourism activities, personal ships, watercraft sales, rental services, river cruises, and small and large cruises are all part of the market landscape. Battery prices and environmental impact are also key considerations. Organizations are focusing on navigable waters, water sports demand, international tourists, and tourism operators. Sailboats, motorboats, yachts, fishing boats, and cruising boats come in various sizes and engine types, including electric drives and diesel engines. Sports fishing and transportation are also popular uses for recreational boats. The recreational boats market caters primarily to high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs), who represent a small fraction of the global population but hold significant wealth. According to the World Bank, HNWIs make up less than 1% of the world's population, yet they control over 40% of its total wealth. This demographic has a growing affinity for leisure activities, including recreational boating. Initially concentrated in the Western world, HNWIs are now found in various regions globally. The expanding population of HNWIs drives demand for luxury boats, thereby fueling market growth. Leisure boating has emerged as a popular recreational activity among this demographic, contributing to the market's expansion. Insights on how AI is driving innovation, efficiency, and market growth- Request Sample! Market Challenges Insights into how AI is reshaping industries and driving growth- Download a Sample Report Segment Overview This recreational boats market report extensively covers market segmentation by 1.1 Sailboats- The recreational boats market is experiencing growth due to the rise in recreational tourism and increasing sailing activities. Europe , specifically, is a significant region for yachts, with popular destinations like Greece , Spain , France , and Italy attracting thousands of tourists, particularly high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs), for business events and meetings. The global tourism industry's growth, with Southeast Asia leading the way, is fueling the demand for sailboats. Countries such as China and India contribute significantly to this trend, spending more on foreign tourism than domestic. Sailing races, including the America's Cup and Asian Sailing Championships, further boost market growth. Parasailing, a popular water sport, adds to the market's expansion in various coastal areas. China , particularly Hangzhou , is emerging as a leader in water sports, increasing tourism and recreational activities. These factors collectively drive the growth of the sailboats segment in the global recreational boats market. Download complimentary Sample Report to gain insights into AI's impact on market dynamics, emerging trends, and future opportunities- including forecast (2024-2028) and historic data (2018 - 2022) Research Analysis The Recreational Boats Market is experiencing in demand due to pent-up travel desires and increasing confidence levels as restrictions ease. Boat options cater to various preferences, budgets, and water bodies, including pontoons, sailboats, and motorboats. Tourist hotspots and overall tourism industry dynamics continue to influence market growth. Sustainable development and environmental impact are key considerations, with organizations advocating for eco-friendly practices and technologies. Economy plays a significant role in production schedules and consumer purchasing power. Battery prices and water sports demand are also factors shaping the market. International tourists and tourism operators are major consumers, with navigable waters offering diverse opportunities for leisure activities. Industry dynamics remain influenced by trends, regulations, and technological advancements. Market Research Overview The Recreational Boats Market is experiencing in demand due to pent-up demand and rising confidence levels as travel restrictions ease. Boat options cater to various preferences and budgets, including pontoons, cruises, water sports boats, and personal watercraft. Used boat sales are also on the rise due to cost savings. Larger cruises and luxury yacht segment are gaining popularity in overall tourism, particularly in tourist hotspots. However, emission norms are a significant consideration, with boat engine manufacturers focusing on reducing Nitrogen Oxide, hydrocarbons, and particulate matter. Untapped markets, online boat sales, and e-commerce giants are disrupting traditional boat manufacturers and dealerships. Industry dynamics are influenced by production schedules, sustainability, and economic factors. Leisure activities, including boating and fishing, are essential components of the recreational industry. Navigable waters, such as rivers and lakes, offer diverse opportunities for recreational boating, water sports, and tourism activities. Safety considerations, emission regulations, and maintenance costs are essential factors for consumers. Water bodies and local authorities collaborate with tourism businesses to promote sustainable development and economic growth. Overall, the recreational boating market is a significant contributor to the economy and offers versatility, functionality, and cost-effectiveness for various leisure activities. Table of Contents: 1 Executive Summary 2 Market Landscape 3 Market Sizing 4 Historic Market Size 5 Five Forces Analysis 6 Market Segmentation 7 Customer Landscape 8 Geographic Landscape 9 Drivers, Challenges, and Trends 10 Company Landscape 11 Company Analysis 12 Appendix About Technavio Technavio is a leading global technology research and advisory company. Their research and analysis focuses on emerging market trends and provides actionable insights to help businesses identify market opportunities and develop effective strategies to optimize their market positions. With over 500 specialized analysts, Technavio's report library consists of more than 17,000 reports and counting, covering 800 technologies, spanning across 50 countries. Their client base consists of enterprises of all sizes, including more than 100 Fortune 500 companies. This growing client base relies on Technavio's comprehensive coverage, extensive research, and actionable market insights to identify opportunities in existing and potential markets and assess their competitive positions within changing market scenarios. Contacts Technavio Research Jesse Maida Media & Marketing Executive US: +1 844 364 1100 UK: +44 203 893 3200 Email: media@technavio.com Website: www.technavio.com/ View original content to download multimedia: https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/recreational-boats-market-to-grow-by-usd-6-28-billion-2024-2028-rising-boating-activities-driving-revenue-report-on-ai-driven-market-transformation---technavio-302316077.html SOURCE TechnavioAP Sports SummaryBrief at 5:38 p.m. EST

Are you looking for a new addition to your traditional Christmas decor? After much digging, I'm making a case for this 100-year-old German tradition that is the answer to all my whimsical, folky Christmas dreams. Sure, we all know the Christmas decorating classics: tree ornaments, fairy lights, pine cones, Christmas wreaths , and Christmas garlands , but have you ever considered a putz house or two? The charm of the vintage Christmas decor trend isn't fading just yet, so I've been on the hunt for something sugary sweet, and totally retro to add to my collection of paper garlands, mercury baubles, and icicle tinsel. Here, I'm making a case for the return of putz houses. So I'm sure you're wondering what is a 'putz house' anyway? These miniature festive houses hail from Germany and became popular in the early 20th century, around 100 years ago. Designed to look like little festive European homes with pitched roofs and pretty decor, the name comes from the German word putzen , which means 'to decorate' or 'to adorn'. Usually around 5-10 inches tall, the original versions were typically handmade using paper or cardboard and accessorized with glitter to create a nostalgic Christmas village to display on the mantel, window, or under the tree. When you bring a cluster of them together, they create an enchanting, magical display that is perfect for capturing that cozy, vintage Christmas vibe we're all seeking. Today, you'll find them made from paper, ceramic, or wood and can pick them up from Target for as little as $5, shop handcrafted versions from small sellers, or go all out and score this rare Complete set of 8 Christmas Putz Houses at 1st Dibs that is currently selling for just under $7,000. Here are a few of my favorites I have found to shop now in time for Christmas. Surprisingly, Amazon have a great selection of handmade putz houses from small sellers including this pretty pink townhouse complete with miniature red bows. I want to move in. Dating from the early 1940s and made in the U.S.A, these four vintage putz houses depict a snowy chalet scheme and are in great condition. They might be tiny and a little fragile, but nothing does it like the real thing. This light-up LED paper house from Target is just as sweet as its vintage counterparts. I love the soft green color scheme and mini car, this will cast a warm glow from your mantel once you add the included batteries. Super sturdy thanks to being made from clay, these intricately decorated village houses from Pottery Barn are finished with a hint of glitter and gingerbread-style trim. They also have LED bulbs fitted inside. Another rare vintage find, these 6 little pink, blue, and white glittered houses hail from 1950s Japan (the seller has noted a stamp on the bottom). Sure, shopping vintage isn't budget-friendly, but they're so irresistibly charming. For a more contemporary take, the team at Terrain has adorned this large faux foliage wreath with tiny, colorful paper putz houses and brush trees for a really cheerful addition to your front door. MacKenzie-Childs home decor is always hand-crafted and hand-painted, so to get this set for just under $90 feels like a good deal. Featuring her signature check print, they're a lovely mix of old and new charm. These 2 coordinating houses from Amazon are full of rustic charm. Made from wood, they can be powered with 2AA batteries to glow from within. I love the bottle trees and soft pink roofs. Finally, if you feel like doing a little DIY, this crafting kit from Anthropologie helps you to build 3 houses, 3 delicately decorated trees, 1 mailbox (for Santa, of course), and a clock. A fun stocking filler for sure. If you’re looking to add a unique and personal touch to your Christmas decorations, putz houses might just be the missing piece you've been looking for. Beyond just being super cute, they embody a rich heritage of craftsmanship and will bring a sense of warm nostalgia to your home.Brisbane news live: ‘Adult crime, adult time’ the focus before first parliament sitting

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